Pot odds & outs
Turn the cost of a call into required equity and estimate your chance of hitting an out.
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Turn the cost of a call into required equity and estimate your chance of hitting an out.
Pot 300 including the bet, call 100 → 100 ÷ 400 = 25%.
Every row treats the pot before the bet as 100%. The row closest to your size is marked.
| Bet (pot) | MDF | Bluff fold rate | Equity to call | Value : bluff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 80.0% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 5.00 : 1 |
| 33% | 75.2% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 4.03 : 1 |
| 50% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 25.0% | 3.00 : 1 |
| 66% | 60.2% | 39.8% | 28.4% | 2.52 : 1 |
| 75% | 57.1% | 42.9% | 30.0% | 2.33 : 1 |
| 100% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.00 : 1 |
| 150% | 40.0% | 60.0% | 37.5% | 1.67 : 1 |
| 200% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 40.0% | 1.50 : 1 |
Example: the pot is 100 and the opponent bets 75 (75% of the pot). You must defend 100 ÷ 175 = 57.1%, a pure bluff breaks even if it works 42.9% of the time, calling 75 to win 175 needs 75 ÷ 250 = 30% equity, and a balanced betting range holds 2.33 value hands per bluff.